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There are calls for a total lockdown, border closures, social distancing, and forced quarantine. With 423 cases declared by the end of March 2020, the spread of the virus is accelerating slower than expected. But still, understanding the speed of spread is important, and the situation in April will depend on the effectiveness of the measures taken. The main challenge is the threat to the healthcare system, posed by the low rates of testing and the seeming impossibility of treating all the victims of this unprecedented pandemic.